
UK business confidence plunged to its lowest level on record in September, driven primarily by escalating employment costs and ongoing energy price pressures. According to a survey of business leaders conducted by the Institute of Directors, cost expectations reached unprecedented heights, with labor expenses representing the most significant concern. Anna Leach, the IoD's chief economist, noted that "business confidence has plumbed new depths in September" following a brief improvement at summer's end, highlighting deteriorating conditions across multiple sectors.
The bleak business sentiment emerges against a backdrop of divided views among Bank of England policymakers regarding the inflation trajectory. Two Bank officials, Clare Lombardelli and Catherine Mann, have expressed concerns that UK inflation may not decline as rapidly as anticipated next year, with recent food price spikes potentially persisting into 2026. Both policymakers voted against the central bank's most recent interest rate cut in August, with Mann stating she believes "an inflation persistence scenario is playing out" despite maintaining that further rate reductions remain possible.
In contrast, Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden has adopted a more optimistic stance, asserting that the recent increase in UK inflation will prove temporary and unlikely to generate significant second-round effects. Speaking at Cardiff University, Breeden stated she had "not seen any evidence yet to suggest that the underlying disinflationary process from past shocks is veering off-track," characterizing the situation as "so far so good." Her comments came as headline inflation remained at 3.8% in August, unchanged from the previous month.
The policy divergence within the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee reflects the complex balancing act facing UK monetary authorities. While some members worry about entrenched inflation, Breeden has cautioned that maintaining restrictive policy for "too long" carries economic risks, potentially undermining output and employment while pulling inflation below target. This tension between inflation control and growth preservation comes as businesses grapple with record-low confidence and the chancellor faces calls to deliver a growth-focused budget in November that prioritizes business interests.

London's Metropolitan Police has reversed its longstanding position on grooming gangs in the capital, acknowledging for the first time that it has multiple active investigations into group-based child sexual exploitation. The shift came after an investigation by MyLondon and The Daily Express challenged official statements from both police leadership and Mayor Sadiq Khan, who had consistently maintained there were "no reports" or "no indication" of Rochdale or Rotherham-style rape gangs operating in London.
The investigation uncovered evidence from four separate His Majesty's Inspectorate of Constabulary and Fire & Rescue Services reports spanning 2016 to 2025 that documented at least six potential victims of grooming gang abuse. These case studies, which the Mayor of London personally responded to according to public statements, described children as young as 13 being exploited by groups of predatory men. The reports detailed how girls were plied with drugs and alcohol, raped in hotels by multiple perpetrators, and subjected to life-threatening situations.
Metropolitan Police Commissioner Sir Mark Rowley revealed to Assembly Members at City Hall that the force now acknowledges a "steady flow" of live multi-offender child sexual exploitation investigations and a "very significant" number of historic cases requiring reinvestigation. The commissioner estimated these reviews would cost "millions of pounds a year, for several years" to properly investigate, contradicting previous assertions that the force had "not seen" such cases in London.
Political figures including Reform UK MP Lee Anderson and Shadow Home Secretary Chris Philp have criticized the mayor's handling of the situation, with Anderson stating there is "real, credible evidence that grooming gangs exist in London" and Philp alleging that Khan is "facilitating a cover-up." A spokesman for the mayor maintained that Khan has "always been clear that the safety of Londoners is his top priority" and remains "committed to doing all he can to protect children in London."